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Economy expanded 4.5% in the first quarter
29 May 2003 - The service sector expanded strongly by 5.6% in the first quarter compared to 4.8% a year ago, pushing the pace of GDP growth to 4.5% from 3.8%. According to Economic Planning Secretary Romulo Neri, the "growth has become more diffused" in services "as a modest slowdown in communication was balanced by more upbeat growth in finance, mainly insurance; ownership of dwellings and real estate and private services."

While the combined agriculture, fishery and forestry sector growth decelerated to 2.4% from 4.8%, owing to the mild dryspell, industrial performance almost doubled to 4.0% from 2.1%, sustained by the growth in mining and quarrying as well as in manufacturing. Manufacturing production more than doubled to 5.3% from 2.4% despite a slowdown in food manufacturing to 8.8% from 10.6%.

As inflows from OFW compensation stepped up to 12.6% from 1.8%, net factor income from abroad accelerated to 21.0% from 10.2%, bringing GNP growth higher to 5.6% from 4.3%. With double digit growth in spending on utilities, and on transportation and communication, personal consumption grew faster at 4.9% from 3.5%, accounting for 63.0% of GNP. As government spending continued to contract, capital formation recovered from the slump due to oil inventory build-up in the run-up to the war in Iraq. Thus, growth in overall domestic demand turned around to 8.0% from a contraction of 0.4% a year ago. Exports, led by semiconductors, garments and crude coconut oil; as well as a record-high imports, notably of mineral fuels and electrical machinery, likewise reversed their year-ago downturns.

Meanwhile, revisions in the national accounts brought down overall 2002 GDP growth rate to 4.4% from a previous estimate of 4.6% and GNP expansion pace to 4.5% from 5.2%. Among the major changes are an 80.7% contraction in the forestry subsector in the second quarter of 2002 from an earlier reported 6.0% growth; and the reversal in factor outflows in the second and third quarters of 2002.

Economic Performance
First Quarter growth rates in %
 
2002
2003
Gross National Product
4.3 
5.6 
Gross Domestic Product
3.8 
4.5 
Net factor income from abroad
10.2 
21.0 
By Industrial Origin
  Agriculture, Fishery & Forestry
4.8 
2.9 
  Industry
2.1 
4.0 
  Services
4.8 
5.6 
By Expenditure Shares
Personal Consumption
3.5 
4.9 
Government Expenditure
(1.90)
(0.5)
Capital Formation
(11.10)
21.2 
Exports
(5.10)
3.0 
Less: Imports
(5.10)
24.2 

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Quarterly Economic Review